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Grok Situation Monitor

Fresh catalysts: Trump Iran settlement progress and strike cancellation June 11; World Cup opener; US jobless claims; CA chemical plant FBI search; Minnesota plea deal.

expiredgrok-4-1-fast-reasoning3h ago

Trump cancels Iran strikes, pushes Hormuz settlement

Trump says MOU to be signed in days in Europe; Iran FM says no agreement finalized yet.

Changed: Strike cancellation and settlement claim today after earlier threats.

critical
2026-06-11T22:00:00Zhigh multiple AP/CNN/WSJ reports today
PM Iran war end datePM Strait of Hormuz reopeningHL OILHL USOIL

Mexico beats South Africa 2-0 in World Cup 2026 opener

Mexico wins opening match 2-0 on June 11; tournament starts.

Changed: Live match result and World Cup launch today.

elevated
2026-06-11T20:00:00Zhigh AP/CNN live updates today
PM World Cup 2026 winnerPM Mexico vs South Africa resultHL sports event derivatives

US initial jobless claims rise to 229K June 6

Claims at 229K vs 225K expected; 4-week average 219K on June 11 release.

Changed: Weekly claims print today with slight beat.

high
2026-06-11T12:30:00Zhigh TradingEconomics/MarketWatch data
PM Fed rate cut September 2026PM US unemployment rateHL ratesHL labor data

FBI searches CA aerospace plant after tank incident

Search warrant served June 10 at Garden Grove facility over May chemical tank overheat.

Changed: Warrant execution and evidence seizure reported today.

elevated
2026-06-10T00:00:00Zmedium NPR/US News reporting June 10-11
PM EPA fines 2026PM industrial incident contractsHL defense stocks
Sort
XMacro 3@financialjuice
China central bank injects 393 billion yuan through 7-day reverse repos at 1.40%: statement
china reverse repo ratepboc 7-day reverse repochina 393 billion yuan injectionchina monetary policy easingchina stimulus 2026
 
3 markets · 1 event
People's Bank of China rate change in June?
noWill the People’s Bank of China decrease rates in June?
0.90 0.80corr Yes 8¢ / No 92¢
live odds pendingopen
noWill the People’s Bank of China increase rates in June?
0.90 0.80corr Yes 8¢ / No 92¢
live odds pendingopen
yesWill the People’s Bank of China not change rates in June?
0.90 0.80corr Yes 92¢ / No 9¢
live odds pendingopen
1 correlated asset
longGOLDGOLD
rel 0.60urg 0.30days
live mark pending
ArticleMacro 4CNBC
CNBC Daily Open: Markets score big as Iran war nears final whistle and SpaceX takes the field

Investors cannot take their eyes off another story playing out: the possibility that the Iran war might finally come to an end.

iran war endus iran dealiran ceasefireiran peace dealspacex ipo
 
6 correlated assets
longSPACEXSPACEX
rel 0.80urg 0.90intraday
live mark pending
shortBRENTOILOIL
rel 0.90urg 0.80days
live mark pending
shortCLOIL
rel 0.90urg 0.80days
live mark pending
XMacro 9@KobeissiLetter
BREAKING: The average price of US ground beef rises +13% YoY in May to a record $7.06 per pound, with prices now up +58% since 2020. Steak prices surged +16% YoY to $12.80 per pound, the 2nd-highest on record. This comes as the US cattle herd has shrunk to its lowest in 75 years, with drought conditions, elevated production costs, and a New World screwworm outbreak in Texas limiting supply recovery. Meanwhile, nearly 80% of US cattle are currently located in areas facing dryness or drought, threatening to keep beef prices elevated well into 2027. American consumers are paying record prices for beef.
us beef price recordground beef pricesteak price recordus cattle herd lowbeef prices 2027
 
6 markets · 3 events
Will ground beef hit __ in 2026?
yesWill ground beef hit $7 per pound in 2026?
0.95 0.90corr Yes 78¢ / No 23¢
live odds pendingopen
yesWill ground beef hit $8 per pound in 2026?
0.95 0.80corr Yes 71¢ / No 29¢
live odds pendingopen
yesWill ground beef hit $10 per pound in 2026?
0.95 0.80corr Yes 15¢ / No 85¢
live odds pendingopen
yesWill ground beef hit $9 per pound in 2026?
0.90 0.70corr Yes 45¢ / No 55¢
live odds pendingopen
Costco increases hotdog price before 2027?
yesCostco increases hotdog price before 2027?
0.70 0.50corr Yes 9¢ / No 91¢
live odds pendingopen
XMacro 5@financialjuice
Taiwanese shares jump over 2%
taiwan stockstaiwan sharestaiwan markettaiwan indextaiwan semiconductor
 
2 correlated assets
longTSMTSM
rel 0.90urg 0.70intraday
live mark pending
longSEMISSEMIS
rel 0.60urg 0.50intraday
live mark pending
XMacro 5@financialjuice
Bok Gov Shin: Inflation to surpass target for prolonged period
bok gov shin inflationsouth korea inflation targetbank of korea rate hikekorea cpi above targetbok policy rate
 
9 markets · 4 events
EWY (EWY) Up or Down on June 12?
downEWY (EWY) Up or Down on June 12?
0.60 0.80corr Up 51¢ / Down 50¢
live odds pendingopen
Bank of Korea decision in July?
yesWill the Bank of Korea increase the base rate after the July Meeting?
0.80 0.75corr Yes 63¢ / No 38¢
live odds pendingopen
noWill the Bank of Korea decrease the base rate after the July Meeting?
0.80 0.75corr Yes 0¢ / No 100¢
live odds pendingopen
mixedWill the Bank of Korea make no change to the base rate after the July Meeting?
0.70 0.70corr Yes 37¢ / No 63¢
live odds pendingopen
5 correlated assets
shortEWYEWY
rel 0.90urg 0.70days
live mark pending
shortEWYEWY
rel 0.90urg 0.70days
live mark pending
shortSMSNSMSN
rel 0.80urg 0.60days
live mark pending
XMacro 3@financialjuice
Bank of Korea Governor Shin: Timely interest rate hikes essential
bank of korea rate hikesouth korea interest ratekorea monetary policyshin rate hikebank of korea hawkish
 
8 markets · 3 events
EWY (EWY) Up or Down on June 12?
downEWY (EWY) Up or Down on June 12?
0.70 0.80corr Up 51¢ / Down 50¢
live odds pendingopen
What will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit in June 2026?
yesWill South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $174 in June?
0.60 0.40corr Yes 71¢ / No 29¢
live odds pendingopen
yesWill South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $172 in June?
0.60 0.40corr Yes 70¢ / No 31¢
live odds pendingopen
yesWill South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $170 in June?
0.60 0.40corr Yes 61¢ / No 39¢
live odds pendingopen
yesWill South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $168 in June?
0.60 0.40corr Yes 57¢ / No 43¢
live odds pendingopen
5 correlated assets
shortEWYEWY
rel 0.90urg 0.70days
live mark pending
shortEWYEWY
rel 0.90urg 0.70days
live mark pending
shortSKHXSKHX
rel 0.80urg 0.60days
live mark pending
XPolitics 2@MOSSADil
Israel has released Sheikh Hassan Yousef, a Hamas co-founder, Imam, and senior leader in Judea and Samaria. Hassan Yousef is also the father of Mosab Hassan Yousef, the former Shin Bet informant known as “The Green Prince,” who bravely risked his own life to save civilians from planned acts of terror during the intifadas.
hamas leader releasedsheikh hassan yousef releaseisrael releases hamas co-founderhamas senior leader freedisrael hamas prisoner release
 
3 markets · 3 events
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?
yesIsrael x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30?
0.70 0.60corr Yes 10¢ / No 90¢
live odds pendingopen
Will Hamas agree to disarm by...?
yesWill Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?
0.65 0.55corr Yes 10¢ / No 91¢
live odds pendingopen
ArticleMacro 3CNBC
Oil prices fall on hopes of U.S.-Iran deal despite Tehran pushback

Oil prices fell on Friday after U.S. President Donald Trump said Washington had reached a framework agreement with Iran, raising hopes that tensions in the Middle East could ease.

us iran dealus x iran dealiran nuclear dealoil pricesmiddle east tensions
 
5 correlated assets
shortCLOIL
rel 0.95urg 0.90days
live mark pending
shortBRENTOILOIL
rel 0.95urg 0.90days
live mark pending
shortWTIOIL
rel 0.95urg 0.90days
live mark pending
ArticleMacro 3FT
Donald Trump says US close to deal with Iran and calls off strikes

Markets rally and oil prices dip as US president claims agreement will reopen Strait of Hormuz

us iran dealus x iran dealiran deal closestrait of hormuz reopenoil prices iran deal
 
9 correlated assets
shortOILOIL
rel 0.95urg 0.90days
live mark pending
shortWTIOIL
rel 0.95urg 0.90days
live mark pending
shortBRENTOILOIL
rel 0.95urg 0.90days
live mark pending
XMacro 5@zerohedge
*KOREA’S KOSPI EXTENDS GAIN TO 8% AS CHIP STOCKS SURGE
kospi 8%korea chip stockssouth korea semiconductorkospi levelkorea stock market
 
8 markets · 3 events
EWY (EWY) Up or Down on June 12?
yesEWY (EWY) Up or Down on June 12?
0.90 0.90corr Up 51¢ / Down 50¢
live odds pendingopen
What will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit in June 2026?
noWill South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $170 in June?
0.80 0.70corr Yes 61¢ / No 39¢
live odds pendingopen
noWill South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $172 in June?
0.80 0.70corr Yes 70¢ / No 31¢
live odds pendingopen
noWill South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $174 in June?
0.80 0.70corr Yes 71¢ / No 29¢
live odds pendingopen
noWill South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $168 in June?
0.80 0.70corr Yes 57¢ / No 43¢
live odds pendingopen
7 correlated assets
longEWYEWY
rel 0.95urg 0.90intraday
live mark pending
longEWYEWY
rel 0.95urg 0.90intraday
live mark pending
longSEMISSEMIS
rel 0.85urg 0.80intraday
live mark pending
XOther 2@Osint613
New footage shows significant damage in Streator, Illinois after a tornado moved through the area. https://t.co/tXgW7LNTkU
tornado illinoisstreator tornadoillinois tornado damagesevere weather illinoisus tornado 2026
 
3 markets · 2 events
How many Tornadoes in the US in June?
noWill fewer than 100 tornadoes occur in the United States in June 2026?
0.80 0.50corr Yes 18¢ / No 82¢
live odds pendingopen
unknownWill more than 310 tornadoes occur in the United States in June 2026?
0.60 0.30corr Yes 4¢ / No 96¢
live odds pendingopen
How many Tornadoes in the US in 2026?
noWill fewer than 950 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?
0.70 0.30corr Yes 5¢ / No 95¢
live odds pendingopen
XPolitics 2@financialjuice
Japan finance minister Katayama: receiving U.S. intelligence support on establishment of Japan version of CFIUS
japan cfiusjapan version cfiusjapan foreign investment screeningjapan us intelligence supportjapan national security review
 
1 correlated asset
longEWJEWJ
rel 0.70urg 0.30weeks
live mark pending
XMacro 3@financialjuice
Japan Finance Minister Katayama: No impact expected on central bank policy meeting after BoJ's Ueda hospitalized
boj ueda hospitalizedjapan central bank meetingbank of japan policyjapan interest rate decisionboj governor health
 
4 markets · 1 event
Bank of Japan Decision in June?
noBank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
0.80 0.70corr Yes 1¢ / No 99¢
live odds pendingopen
noBank of Japan decreases interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
0.80 0.70corr Yes 0¢ / No 100¢
live odds pendingopen
yesNo change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
0.80 0.70corr Yes 2¢ / No 98¢
live odds pendingopen
noBank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
0.80 0.70corr Yes 98¢ / No 2¢
live odds pendingopen
2 correlated assets
volatilityJPYJPY
rel 0.70urg 0.60intraday
live mark pending
volatilityEWJEWJ
rel 0.50urg 0.40intraday
live mark pending
XPolitics 10@sentdefender
I have a serious question for anyone at the Office of the Secretary of the Navy or the Department of War. Why are underway Sailors at Naval Station Norfolk in Virginia, many of whom are currently deployed to the Middle East for combat operations against Iran, required to pay $80 per month to the Navy Exchange (NEX) - a retail chain meant to support Sailors and their families which is owned and operated by the U.S. Navy - just to store their cars inside an overgrown, nonsecure, fenced lot? If Sailors decide not to park in the lot and leave their car anywhere else on base, they risk having their car towed, impounded, and in some cases auctioned off. How does this support our Sailors, many of whom are already struggling financially? Can something please be done about this? @SECNAV @USNavy @DeptofWar @DOWResponse @PeteHegseth
us iran warus x iran ceasefireiran attack us navynaval station norfolkus navy middle east
 
5 correlated assets
shortWTIOIL
rel 0.90urg 0.80days
live mark pending
shortOILOIL
rel 0.90urg 0.80days
live mark pending
shortUSOILOIL
rel 0.90urg 0.80days
live mark pending
XPolitics 2@zerohedge
"It Was Like Two Bucks": Homeless Residents Say They Were Paid To Vote In Los Angeles Mayoral Race https://t.co/PlCF95aYb3
los angeles mayor electionla mayoral racevoter fraud los angelespaid to votehomeless voting
 
3 markets · 3 events
LA Mayoral Election: Court Rules 1st Round Fraudulent?
yesLA Mayoral Election: Court Rules 1st Round Fraudulent?
0.90 0.80corr Yes 7¢ / No 94¢
live odds pendingopen
LA Mayoral Election: Recount of 1st Round?
yesLA Mayoral Election: Recount of 1st Round?
0.80 0.70corr Yes 5¢ / No 95¢
live odds pendingopen
XPolitics 10@WarMonitors
If this actually war ends for Iran and they go back to normal but Israel continues to murder our people in Lebanon and occupy our land, Hezbollah should wrap it up and hand its arms to the Lebanese military. Lebanese people are tired of being pawns in some greater pseudo-theological cause. If you haven’t noticed, the more you wage more on the Israelis, the more land we lose, the more of our people they murder, and the stronger their military gets. There is a clear line between rightful resistance, and recklessly dragging an entire country into war. Apologies in advanced to whoever gets offended, I don’t mean it in a bad way, all I ever wanted was for my people to stop getting murdered in wars.
iran war endsiran ceasefireisrael lebanon ceasefirehezbollah disarmhezbollah hand over arms
 
5 correlated assets
shortWTIOIL
rel 0.90urg 0.80days
live mark pending
shortOILOIL
rel 0.90urg 0.80days
live mark pending
shortUSOILOIL
rel 0.90urg 0.80days
live mark pending
XPolitics 10@WarMonitors
⚡️ Trump: "I don't know if you heard, but we ended the war with Iran today, and they agreed they will never have nuclear weapons"
trump iran wartrump x iraniran nuclear dealiran nuclear weaponsus iran ceasefire
 
9 correlated assets
shortOILOIL
rel 0.95urg 0.90days
live mark pending
shortWTIOIL
rel 0.95urg 0.90days
live mark pending
shortBRENTOILOIL
rel 0.95urg 0.90days
live mark pending
XPolitics 10@MOSSADil
Audio of President Tump stating that Iran agreed it cannot have a nuclear weapon https://t.co/8pNmazoJCD
iran nuclear weapontrump iran nucleariran nuclear dealiran x nucleariran nuclear agreement
 
6 correlated assets
shortCLOIL
rel 0.90urg 0.80days
live mark pending
shortBRENTOILOIL
rel 0.90urg 0.80days
live mark pending
shortUSOILOIL
rel 0.90urg 0.80days
live mark pending
ArticlePolitics 8TheHill
Appeals court rules Trump’s 10 percent global tariff can stay, for now

A federal appeals court on Thursday ruled that President Trump’s 10 percent global tariff is likely legal, deciding it can remain in place until the court delivers its final word. Trump imposed the new levy after the Supreme Court invalidated his previous, emergency tariffs as exceeding his authority. Last month, a federal trade court found the new tariff unlawful and blocked officials from forcing a group…

trump tariff upheldglobal tariff legaltrump 10% tarifftariff court rulingus tariff policy
 
5 markets · 5 events
100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?
yes100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?
0.70 0.60corr Yes 1¢ / No 99¢
live odds pendingopen
Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30?
yesTariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30?
0.70 0.60corr Yes 5¢ / No 95¢
live odds pendingopen
XCrypto 4@zerohedge
Australian Financial Watchdogs Back New Powers To Curb Money-Laundering Via Crypto https://t.co/8DscRtBUNa
australia crypto regulationaustralia money laundering cryptoaustralian crypto lawscrypto regulation australiaaustralia crypto ban
 
1 correlated asset
shortBTCBTC
rel 0.70urg 0.50weeks
live mark pending
XTech 3@Osint613
This man was rejected from a job at Netscape in 1995. Today, he is about to become the world’s first trillionaire I have no idea what Netscape is. Pretty sure it doesn’t exist anymore. “When something is important enough, you do it even if the odds are not in your favor.” - Elon Musk
elon musk trillionaireworld first trillionairemusk net worthspacex ipospacex valuation
 
5 correlated assets
longSPACEXSPACEX
rel 0.90urg 0.80days
live mark pending
longTSLATSLA
rel 0.70urg 0.60days
live mark pending
longTSLATSLA
rel 0.70urg 0.60days
live mark pending
XPolitics 3@MOSSADil
🚨 IRAN STOPS TANKER NEAR STRAIT OF HORMUZ Iranian state media reports that Iranian forces blocked a tanker from entering the Strait of Hormuz without prior coordination. The incident came shortly after explosions were heard near Bandar Abbas.
iran stops tankerstrait of hormuz blockediran tanker incidentiran strait of hormuziran x hormuz
 
9 correlated assets
longBRENTOILOIL
rel 0.95urg 0.90intraday
live mark pending
longCLOIL
rel 0.95urg 0.90intraday
live mark pending
longWTIOIL
rel 0.90urg 0.85intraday
live mark pending
XPolitics 10@Osint613
Here is the clip of U.S. President Donald Trump claiming the war in Iran ended today, and that they've agreed to never have a nuclear weapon: https://t.co/q2XtQKCbhn
trump iran war endediran nuclear weapon agreementus iran ceasefireiran nuclear dealtrump iran peace
 
9 correlated assets
shortWTIOIL
rel 0.95urg 0.90days
live mark pending
shortOILOIL
rel 0.95urg 0.90days
live mark pending
shortUSOILOIL
rel 0.95urg 0.90days
live mark pending
ArticleTech 3CNBC
SpaceX raising $75 billion in record-setting IPO as Nasdaq debut awaits

SpaceX is selling 555.6 shares at $135 a piece, raising $75 billion in the largest IPO on record.

spacex ipospacex market capspacex valuationspacex stock pricespacex nasdaq debut
 
1 correlated asset
longSPACEXSPACEX
rel 1.00urg 0.90days
live mark pending
XMacro 2@zerohedge
*US AUTHORIZES SOME DUKE ENERGY UNITS TO OPERATE UP TO MAX LEVEL
duke energy max levelduk stock priceduke energy authorizationduke energy operating capacityduk above
 
2 correlated assets
longNUCLEARNUCLEAR
rel 0.90urg 0.80days
live mark pending
longENERGYENERGY_BASKET
rel 0.50urg 0.40days
live mark pending
XPolitics 2@Osint613
The strangest part of this news cycle, the IRGC is itching for a fight, they are not done yet.
irgc fightiran military actioniran x israel conflictiran warirgc attack
 
9 correlated assets
shortCLOIL
rel 0.90urg 0.80days
live mark pending
longBRENTOILOIL
rel 0.90urg 0.80days
live mark pending
longUSOILOIL
rel 0.90urg 0.80days
live mark pending
XPolitics 8@Osint613
Irans Press TV: Iran’s top military commander warns Trump against what he called a pattern of deception, lies and mixed messages.
iran military commander warns trumpiran x us escalationiran deception mixed messagesiran us military actioniran us war
 
9 correlated assets
shortCLOIL
rel 0.90urg 0.80days
live mark pending
shortBRENTOILOIL
rel 0.90urg 0.80days
live mark pending
shortUSOILOIL
rel 0.90urg 0.80days
live mark pending
ArticleTech 3BBC
Elon Musk's SpaceX raises $75bn ahead of record stock market debut

The public sale is also expected to make Elon Musk the world's first trillionaire.

spacex ipospacex market capelon musk trillionairespacex valuationspacex stock debut
 
2 correlated assets
longSPACEXSPACEX
rel 1.00urg 1.00intraday
live mark pending
longDOGEDOGE
rel 0.60urg 0.30days
live mark pending
XPolitics 2@Osint613
As if the timeline wasn’t chaotic enough: Hunter Biden says he is considering a 2028 run with Gavin Newsom, but only as vice president. https://t.co/WcqbGjsgCJ
hunter biden 2028gavin newsom 2028hunter biden vice presidentnewsom biden 20282028 democratic ticket
 
6 markets · 5 events
Democratic VP Nominee 2028
yesWill Hunter Biden be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?
0.95 0.85corr Yes 2¢ / No 98¢
live odds pendingopen
Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?
yesWill Hunter Biden announce a Presidential run before 2027?
0.90 0.80corr Yes 4¢ / No 96¢
live odds pendingopen
yesWill Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?
0.85 0.75corr Yes 14¢ / No 86¢
live odds pendingopen
XPolitics 10@zerohedge
*TRUMP: ENDED WAR WITH IRAN TODAY
trump iran warus iran warus x iran wariran ceasefireisrael iran ceasefire
 
9 correlated assets
shortWTIOIL
rel 0.95urg 0.90intraday
live mark pending
shortOILOIL
rel 0.95urg 0.90intraday
live mark pending
shortUSOILOIL
rel 0.95urg 0.90intraday
live mark pending
XPolitics 10@Osint613
President Trump now: "I don't know if you heard, but we ended the war with Iran today, and they have agreed never to have a nuclear weapon"
trump iran wariran nuclear dealus iran ceasefireiran nuclear weapontrump iran agreement
 
10 correlated assets
shortBRENTOILOIL
rel 0.95urg 0.90intraday
live mark pending
shortCLOIL
rel 0.95urg 0.90intraday
live mark pending
shortWTIOIL
rel 0.95urg 0.90intraday
live mark pending
XPolitics 8@Osint613
I can’t believe it was this week Iran shot down a U.S. Apache helicopter and sent 22 missiles to Israel. And today? It was almost power plant day, but Pakistan came to the rescue. What a week.
iran shot down us apacheiran missiles to israeliran israel attackpakistan power plant rescueiran us helicopter down
 
9 correlated assets
shortWTIOIL
rel 0.90urg 0.80intraday
live mark pending
shortOILOIL
rel 0.90urg 0.80intraday
live mark pending
shortUSOILOIL
rel 0.90urg 0.80intraday
live mark pending
XPolitics 8@Osint613
Iranian state media: Explosions reported near Sirik during a confrontation with a vessel allegedly violating navigation restrictions in the Strait of Hormuz. Iranian military sources say the vessel was an oil tanker and was forced to comply after an IRGC Navy warning.
iran oil tankerstrait of hormuziran irgc navyiran vessel confrontationiran x us
 
9 correlated assets
shortCLOIL
rel 0.95urg 0.90intraday
live mark pending
shortBRENTOILOIL
rel 0.95urg 0.90intraday
live mark pending
shortUSOILOIL
rel 0.95urg 0.90intraday
live mark pending
XPolitics 3@MOSSADil
MOJTABA KHAMENEI REJECTS U.S. PEACE DEAL: IRANIAN LEADERSHIP REPORTEDLY DIVIDED Reports indicate Iran’s Supreme Leader, Mojtaba Khamenei, will not approve the proposed peace deal with the United States. Sources claim Iranian negotiators signaled the deal was ready, but the decision was reportedly announced by Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf and Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi without Khamenei’s approval. If accurate, it raises serious questions about whether mediators were misled regarding Iran’s true position. 🇮🇷🇺🇸 @visegrad24
iran peace dealus iran dealmojtaba khameneiiran rejects dealiran leadership divided
 
9 correlated assets
shortCLOIL
rel 0.90urg 0.80days
live mark pending
shortWTIOIL
rel 0.90urg 0.80days
live mark pending
shortOILOIL
rel 0.90urg 0.80days
live mark pending
XPolitics 3@MOSSADil
New explosions reported from Iran in the cities of Karaj and Bandar Abbas
iran explosionsiran karaj explosioniran bandar abbas explosioniran wariran israel war
 
9 correlated assets
longWTIOIL
rel 0.90urg 0.80intraday
live mark pending
longOILOIL
rel 0.90urg 0.80intraday
live mark pending
longUSOILOIL
rel 0.90urg 0.80intraday
live mark pending
ArticleCrypto 8CoinTelegraph
Big Tech crash, oil volatility rattles markets: Will Bitcoin hold above $60K?

With $1.9 billion exiting the spot Bitcoin ETFs and tech stocks under pressure, BTC is failing as a hedge and at risk of falling below the $60,000 support.

bitcoin above 60000bitcoin below 60000btc price supportspot bitcoin etf outflowsbitcoin hedge
 
8 correlated assets
shortBTCBTC
rel 0.90urg 0.80intraday
live mark pending
shortCOINCOIN
rel 0.80urg 0.70intraday
live mark pending
shortCOINCOIN
rel 0.80urg 0.70intraday
live mark pending
XPolitics 2@zerohedge
*TRUMP: TODAY WE SETTLED UP WITH IRAN *TRUMP ON IRAN: PRETTY MUCH COMPLETED *TRUMP ON IRAN: WE GOT EVERYTHING WE WANTED
trump iran dealus iran settlementiran deal completedtrump iran peaceiran nuclear deal
 
9 correlated assets
shortCLOIL
rel 0.95urg 0.90days
live mark pending
shortBRENTOILOIL
rel 0.95urg 0.90days
live mark pending
shortWTIOIL
rel 0.90urg 0.85days
live mark pending
XPolitics 8@financialjuice
Iranian state media citing military source: vessel was an oil tanker forced to follow strait of Hormuz traffic ban after IRGC navy warning
strait of hormuz oil tankerirgc navy warningiran oil tanker banstrait of hormuz traffic baniran vessel forced
 
9 correlated assets
shortCLOIL
rel 0.95urg 0.90intraday
live mark pending
longBRENTOILOIL
rel 0.95urg 0.90intraday
live mark pending
longUSOILOIL
rel 0.95urg 0.90intraday
live mark pending
XPolitics 8@financialjuice
Iranian state media citing military source: explosion sounds in Sirik linked to clash with vessel breaching Strait of Hormuz
iran strait of hormuziran x strait of hormuziran vessel clashiran explosion sirikiran military clash
 
9 correlated assets
shortCLOIL
rel 0.95urg 0.90intraday
live mark pending
longBRENTOILOIL
rel 0.95urg 0.90intraday
live mark pending
longWTIOIL
rel 0.90urg 0.85intraday
live mark pending
XPolitics 10@MOSSADil
Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu was reportedly caught off guard by President Trump’s announcement halting further strikes on Iran and signaling that a deal with Tehran could be reached soon. According to the report, Netanyahu was not given advance notice before Trump’s remarks. Axios esp on Netanyahu could be lies but that’s the report
us iran dealus x iran ceasefireisrael iran ceasefiretrump iran strikes haltnetanyahu caught off guard
 
9 correlated assets
shortWTIOIL
rel 0.90urg 0.80days
live mark pending
shortOILOIL
rel 0.90urg 0.80days
live mark pending
shortUSOILOIL
rel 0.90urg 0.80days
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ArticleTech 4Decrypt
OpenAI Wants a Price War With Anthropic—Is It Proving DeepSeek Right?

Sam Altman is weighing drastic token price cuts to fight Anthropic. The problem is DeepSeek already made that argument for him—and for free.

openai price waropenai anthropicopenai token price cutdeepseek aiopenai vs anthropic
 
6 markets · 6 events
Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on June 30?
yesAnthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on June 30?
0.80 0.70corr Anthropic 97¢ / OpenAI 3¢
live odds pendingopen
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
mixedWill Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
0.70 0.60corr Anthropic 83¢ / OpenAI 18¢
live odds pendingopen
2 correlated assets
shortOPENAIOPENAI
rel 0.90urg 0.80days
live mark pending
mixedANTHROPICANTHROPIC
rel 0.80urg 0.70days
live mark pending
XMacro 3@financialjuice
New Zealand May S/Adj PMI at 49.9: Business NZ and Bank NZ Survey
new zealand pminz pmi 49.9new zealand manufacturingnz economy contractionrbnz rate cut
 
3 markets · 1 event
Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in July?
yesWill the Reserve Bank of New Zealand decrease the official cash rate after the July decision?
0.70 0.30corr Yes 2¢ / No 98¢
live odds pendingopen
yesWill the Reserve Bank of New Zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the July decision?
0.70 0.30corr Yes 16¢ / No 84¢
live odds pendingopen
noWill the Reserve Bank of New Zealand increase the official cash rate after the July decision?
0.70 0.30corr Yes 82¢ / No 19¢
live odds pendingopen
XMacro 2@financialjuice
NEW ZEALAND MANUFACTURING PMI ACTUAL 49.9 (FORECAST -, PREVIOUS 50.5) $MACRO
new zealand pminz manufacturing pminew zealand recessionrbnz rate cutnzd usd
 
3 markets · 1 event
Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in July?
yesWill the Reserve Bank of New Zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the July decision?
0.70 0.60corr Yes 16¢ / No 84¢
live odds pendingopen
noWill the Reserve Bank of New Zealand increase the official cash rate after the July decision?
0.70 0.60corr Yes 82¢ / No 19¢
live odds pendingopen
yesWill the Reserve Bank of New Zealand decrease the official cash rate after the July decision?
0.70 0.60corr Yes 2¢ / No 98¢
live odds pendingopen
XPolitics 8@MOSSADil
Two more Hezbollah terrorists reportedly eliminated by the IDF, awaiting identification and terrorist positions. https://t.co/NDbQqGFjO0
hezbollah eliminatedidf hezbollahisrael hezbollahisrael x hezbollahhezbollah ceasefire
 
8 markets · 7 events
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by...?
noIsrael x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
0.80 0.70corr Yes 4¢ / No 96¢
live odds pendingopen
noIsrael x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
0.75 0.60corr Yes 9¢ / No 91¢
live odds pendingopen
Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?
yesCongress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?
0.70 0.60corr Yes 7¢ / No 93¢
live odds pendingopen
5 correlated assets
shortWTIOIL
rel 0.80urg 0.60intraday
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shortOILOIL
rel 0.80urg 0.60intraday
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shortUSOILOIL
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XPolitics 2@Osint613
Photo from Jerusalem this morning, this was Jordan. https://t.co/QA5b2hi7Hq
jordan israel tensionsjerusalem incident jordanjordan x israel conflictjordan israel warjordan israel ceasefire
 
9 correlated assets
shortUSOILOIL
rel 0.90urg 0.80intraday
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shortBRENTOILOIL
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shortCLOIL
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ArticlePolitics 4BBC
Trump says deal to end Iran war is close after calling off strikes

Iran's foreign ministry spokesperson tells state TV that reports of an agreement were "speculative" and "nothing has been finalised".

iran dealiran warus iran dealus x iran ceasefireiran ceasefire
 
9 correlated assets
shortWTIOIL
rel 0.90urg 0.80days
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shortOILOIL
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shortUSOILOIL
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XPolitics 2@MOSSADil
WHAT: Foreign Ministry spokesman Esmaeil Baghaei says a large portion of the negotiating text with the U.S. has been finalized, but Tehran has not yet made a final decision on an agreement. Baghaei stressed Iran will not cross its “red lines” and accused Washington of repeatedly changing its positions during the talks.
iran us dealiran x us agreementiran nuclear dealiran final decisioniran red lines
 
9 correlated assets
shortWTIOIL
rel 0.90urg 0.80days
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shortOILOIL
rel 0.90urg 0.80days
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shortUSOILOIL
rel 0.90urg 0.80days
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ArticlePolitics 4NYT
Whipsawed Between Fear and Relief, Iranians Hope for War’s End

In addition to concerns about their safety in the event of another all-out war, many Iranians worry about the country’s economy further collapsing if the conflict remains in limbo.

iran war endiran ceasefireiran peace dealus iran dealus x iran ceasefire
 
9 correlated assets
shortCLOIL
rel 0.90urg 0.80days
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shortOILOIL
rel 0.90urg 0.80days
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shortUSOILOIL
rel 0.90urg 0.80days
live mark pending
XTech 3@financialjuice
Nvidia appoints veteran lobbyist Bruce Andrews to lead government affairs in Washington DC, sources say
nvidia government affairsnvidia lobbyistnvidia bruce andrewsnvidia regulationnvidia dc office
 
4 correlated assets
longNVDANVDA
rel 0.90urg 0.70weeks
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longNVDANVDA
rel 0.90urg 0.70weeks
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longNVDANVDA
rel 0.90urg 0.70weeks
live mark pending
XMacro 4@KobeissiLetter
The AI buildout is fueling record Big Tech borrowing: Alphabet $GOOGL, Amazon $AMZN, Meta $META, Microsoft $MSFT, and Oracle $ORCL have issued a record $159 billion in corporate bonds in 2026. This already surpasses the full-year 2025 total by +47% or +$51 billion. To put this into perspective, between 2020 and 2024, these companies issued a total of ~$150 billion in debt. Oracle alone has issued $43 billion since September 2025. Meanwhile, AI-related global debt issuance is expected to more than double to a record ~$570 billion in 2026, according to Morgan Stanley. AI is reshaping global credit markets.
big tech borrowingalphabet bondsamazon bondsmeta bondsmicrosoft bonds
 
9 correlated assets
longGOOGLGOOGL
rel 0.80urg 0.60weeks
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longMSFTMSFT
rel 0.80urg 0.60weeks
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longAMZNAMZN
rel 0.80urg 0.60weeks
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XTech 4@financialjuice
OpenAI to buy Ona for $7 million
openai acquisitionopenai onaopenai buy onaopenai $7 millionopenai market cap
 
1 correlated asset
longOPENAIOPENAI
rel 0.90urg 0.70days
live mark pending
XPolitics 8@Osint613
NOW: New escalation Fars reports Iranian forces blocked a tanker from entering the Strait of Hormuz, claiming the vessel attempted to transit without prior coordination.
iran block tankerstrait of hormuz blockediran tanker seizureiran x us tankeriran x israel tanker
 
9 correlated assets
shortCLOIL
rel 0.95urg 0.90intraday
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shortBRENTOILOIL
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shortWTIOIL
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XPolitics 3@DeItaone
IRAN'S FARS CITING ITS REPORTER IN BANDAR ABBAS: IRANIAN FORCES DID NOT ALLOW 'VIOLATING TANKER' TO ENTER STRAIT OF HORMUZ WITHOUT COORDINATION TO PASS
iran tanker strait of hormuziran x tankeriran blockadestrait of hormuz closureiran oil tanker
 
9 correlated assets
shortCLOIL
rel 0.95urg 0.90intraday
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shortBRENTOILOIL
rel 0.95urg 0.90intraday
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shortWTIOIL
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XPolitics 3@financialjuice
Iran’s Fars Citing Reporter in Bandar Abbas: Iranian Forces Prevent ‘Breaching Tanker’ From Entering Strait of Hormuz Without Coordination
iran strait of hormuziran tankeriran blockadeiran x usiran x israel
 
9 correlated assets
shortCLOIL
rel 0.95urg 0.90intraday
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shortBRENTOILOIL
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shortWTIOIL
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XTech 4@DeItaone
SPACEX IPO MAKES ELON MUSK THE WORLD'S FIRST TRILLIONAIRE Most of Musk's wealth now rests with SpaceX, where he holds a stake worth roughly $866 billion. Along with Tesla and the rest of his properties, his net worth will exceed $1.1 trillion when the stock begins trading Friday, according to Forbes and Reuters calculations based on company filings.
spacex ipoelon musk trillionairespacex market capspacex valuationspacex stock price
 
3 correlated assets
longSPACEXSPACEX
rel 1.00urg 1.00intraday
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longTSLATSLA
rel 0.70urg 0.60days
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longDOGEDOGE
rel 0.50urg 0.40days
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XPolitics 2@sentdefender
Early reports indicate that Iran has again engaged a vessel, possibly a U.S. surface combatant, while it was transiting the Strait of Hormuz. This, as U.S. Central Command has said that safe passage for commercial vessels not violating the U.S. blockade is available. https://t.co/sXxaG1VCFB
iran engages us vesseliran strait of hormuzus iran conflictiran x us naval engagementstrait of hormuz blockade
 
9 correlated assets
shortCLOIL
rel 0.95urg 0.90intraday
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longBRENTOILOIL
rel 0.95urg 0.90intraday
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longWTIOIL
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live mark pending
XPolitics 10@MOSSADil
🇮🇱 NETANYAHU CAUGHT OFF GUARD? According to Axios, Prime Minister Netanyahu was not informed in advance that President Trump would halt further strikes on Iran and announce that a deal could be signed soon. The report claims the announcement came as a surprise to Jerusalem. https://t.co/Nbh5njLHWv
trump halt strikes irannetanyahu surprised trump iranus iran deal soonisrael iran ceasefireus x iran deal
 
9 correlated assets
shortWTIOIL
rel 0.90urg 0.80days
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shortCLOIL
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shortBRENTOILOIL
rel 0.90urg 0.80days
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XPolitics 8@Osint613
The year is 2028. Trump just announced that the deal with Iran is about to be signed this weekend. Iran says it is reviewing the final text. The U.S. says discussions are constructive. Pakistan says a breakthrough is imminent. Qatar says it is honored to have played a constructive role in facilitating the talks. Qatar did not facilitate the talks. Israel says it learned about the deal from Truth Social. Hezbollah in southern Lebanon is still getting bombed daily. Axios reports a rift between Netanyahu and Trump. The White House denies it. Trump then posts a photo of himself and Netanyahu. Netanyahu is not in the photo. Oil jumps 3%. Then falls 4%. Trump says the deal is being signed at the request of Pakistan and Field Marshal Syed Asim Munir, who Trump describes as “one of the great generals, maybe the greatest, people are saying.” A senior official says we’re “closer than ever.” A different senior official says “significant gaps remain.” They work in the same office. The next round of talks is scheduled for next weekend. It will also be described as a breakthrough. Qatar thanks Pakistan for its important role and takes credit for the progress.
us iran dealus x iran dealiran deal signedtrump iran dealiran nuclear deal
 
9 correlated assets
volatilityWTIOIL
rel 0.95urg 0.90intraday
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volatilityOILOIL
rel 0.95urg 0.90intraday
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volatilityUSOILOIL
rel 0.95urg 0.90intraday
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XPolitics 10@MOSSADil
🚨 BREAKING: Explosions have been reported in Sirik, southern Iran, near the Strait of Hormuz. Unconfirmed reports suggest the blasts may be linked to the launch of Iranian anti-ship missiles or drones toward the strategic waterway. No official confirmation has been provided, and the cause remains unclear. (https://t.co/gYbZIsdaEn)
iran strait of hormuziran x strait of hormuziran anti-ship missileiran drone attackiran explosion sirik
 
9 correlated assets
shortCLOIL
rel 0.95urg 0.90intraday
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shortBRENTOILOIL
rel 0.95urg 0.90intraday
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shortWTIOIL
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XPolitics 6@spectatorindex
BREAKING: Reports of blasts in Iranian city of Sirik
iran blastsiran explosioniran wariran israel wariran us conflict
 
9 correlated assets
longWTIOIL
rel 0.90urg 0.80intraday
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longOILOIL
rel 0.90urg 0.80intraday
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longUSOILOIL
rel 0.90urg 0.80intraday
live mark pending
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