Delphi AI

Winner-prediction record — every pick is the model's most likely outcome, graded against the final result

graded 2026-07-28

Overall accuracy

50.9%1500–1444

2,944 graded picks across 7 competitions

vs market favorite

48.8%favorite 48.8%

same 2,573 matches with closing odds — de-vigged favorite as benchmark

Last 30 picks

10/3033%

Liga MX

54.0%282–240

beats favorite 54.1% vs 53.7%

walk-forward since 2025-01-01

MLS

49.8%393–397

trails favorite 49.6% vs 49.9%

walk-forward since 2025-01-01

Brasileirão

52.0%287–265

beats favorite 52.8% vs 52.6%

walk-forward since 2025-01-01

Argentina Primera

41.6%315–443

beats favorite 41.5% vs 41.5%

walk-forward since 2025-01-01

World Cup 2026

68.0%68–32

no odds benchmark

pre-tournament ratings

Wimbledon 2026 — ATP

68.5%74–34

no odds benchmark

pre-tournament player state

Wimbledon 2026 — WTA

71.0%81–33

no odds benchmark

pre-tournament player state

Current picks — next 7 daysas of 2026-07-28 05:50 UTC

Liga MXPuebla vs GuadalajaraGuadalajara54%22%/24%/54%08-01 01:00

Liga MXAtlético de San Luis vs TijuanaAtletico San Luis38%38%/27%/36%08-01 03:00

Liga MXFC Juarez vs Pumas UNAMPumas38%35%/27%/38%08-01 03:00

Liga MXQuerétaro vs Tigres UANLTigres UANL42%31%/27%/42%08-01 23:00

Liga MXAtlas vs MonterreyMonterrey39%35%/27%/39%08-02 01:00

Liga MXLeón vs PachucaPachuca44%31%/26%/44%08-02 01:00

Liga MXAmérica vs SantosAmerica78%78%/14%/7%08-02 23:00

Liga MXToluca vs NecaxaToluca67%67%/19%/14%08-03 01:00

MLSNew York City FC vs Toronto FCNew York City60%60%/22%/17%07-31 23:30

MLSCF Montréal vs New England RevolutionMontreal40%40%/25%/35%08-01 23:30

MLSD.C. United vs Nashville SCNashville51%25%/24%/51%08-01 23:30

MLSFC Cincinnati vs San Jose EarthquakesFC Cincinnati49%49%/23%/28%08-01 23:30

MLSInter Miami CF vs Columbus CrewInter Miami57%57%/22%/21%08-01 23:30

MLSPhiladelphia Union vs Atlanta United FCPhiladelphia Union61%61%/22%/17%08-01 23:30

MLSRed Bull New York vs Orlando City SCNew York Red Bulls45%45%/23%/32%08-01 23:30

MLSVancouver Whitecaps vs LAFCVancouver Whitecaps46%46%/25%/29%08-01 23:30

MLSChicago Fire FC vs Charlotte FCChicago Fire50%50%/24%/26%08-02 00:30

MLSMinnesota United FC vs San Diego FCMinnesota United43%43%/25%/32%08-02 00:30

MLSSporting Kansas City vs Houston Dynamo FCHouston Dynamo46%30%/24%/46%08-02 00:30

MLSSt. Louis CITY SC vs Real Salt LakeSt Louis City43%43%/24%/33%08-02 00:30

MLSColorado Rapids vs Austin FCColorado Rapids53%53%/23%/24%08-02 01:30

MLSLA Galaxy vs FC DallasLos Angeles Galaxy45%45%/24%/31%08-02 02:30

MLSPortland Timbers vs Seattle Sounders FCSeattle Sounders39%36%/25%/39%08-02 02:30

BrasileirãoInternacional vs FlamengoFlamengo44%29%/27%/44%07-29 22:30

BrasileirãoMirassol vs RemoMirassol57%57%/24%/19%07-29 22:30

BrasileirãoFluminense vs BahiaFluminense51%51%/26%/23%07-30 00:30

BrasileirãoVitória vs PalmeirasPalmeiras50%24%/26%/50%07-30 00:30

BrasileirãoCorinthians vs Athletico-PRCorinthians43%43%/28%/29%07-30 22:30

BrasileirãoCoritiba vs CruzeiroCruzeiro39%33%/28%/39%07-31 00:30

Argentina PrimeraBanfield vs Sarmiento (Junín)Banfield47%47%/30%/23%07-28 22:00

Argentina PrimeraSan Lorenzo vs Gimnasia (Mendoza)San Lorenzo45%45%/32%/23%07-28 22:00

Argentina PrimeraArgentinos Juniors vs Estudiantes de Río CuartoArgentinos Juniors68%68%/23%/8%07-29 00:15

Argentina PrimeraRosario Central vs Racing ClubRosario Central44%44%/32%/24%07-29 00:15

Argentina PrimeraBarracas Central vs AldosiviBarracas Central53%53%/29%/18%07-29 17:30

Argentina PrimeraDefensa y Justicia vs Deportivo RiestraDefensa y Justicia41%41%/33%/26%07-29 20:00

Argentina PrimeraGimnasia La Plata vs River PlateRiver Plate44%25%/31%/44%07-29 22:15

Argentina PrimeraInstituto (Córdoba) vs PlatenseInstituto42%42%/34%/25%07-30 00:30

Argentina PrimeraIndependiente Rivadavia vs HuracánIndependiente Rivadavia40%40%/33%/27%07-30 22:00

Argentina PrimeraTalleres (Córdoba) vs Vélez SarsfieldTalleres39%39%/33%/28%07-30 22:00

Argentina PrimeraCentral Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) vs Atlético TucumánCentral Cordoba39%39%/33%/28%07-31 00:15

Argentina PrimeraIndependiente vs Newell's Old BoysIndependiente58%58%/28%/14%07-31 00:15

Argentina PrimeraEstudiantes de Río Cuarto vs BanfieldEstudiantes Rio Cuarto35%35%/34%/32%08-01 18:30

Argentina PrimeraGimnasia (Mendoza) vs Unión (Santa Fe)Gimnasia Mendoza35%35%/32%/33%08-01 18:30

Argentina PrimeraBelgrano (Córdoba) vs Argentinos JuniorsArgentinos Juniors35%31%/34%/35%08-01 21:00

Argentina PrimeraEstudiantes de La Plata vs Defensa y JusticiaEstudiantes52%52%/30%/18%08-01 21:00

Argentina PrimeraRacing Club vs TigreRacing Club45%45%/32%/23%08-01 23:30

Argentina PrimeraAldosivi vs Gimnasia La PlataGimnasia La Plata38%30%/32%/38%08-02 17:30

Argentina PrimeraDeportivo Riestra vs Barracas CentralDeportivo Riestra40%40%/33%/27%08-02 17:30

Argentina PrimeraNewell's Old Boys vs Boca JuniorsBoca Juniors49%20%/31%/49%08-02 20:00

Argentina PrimeraRiver Plate vs Rosario CentralRiver Plate46%46%/31%/23%08-02 22:15

Argentina PrimeraLanús vs Instituto (Córdoba)Lanus47%47%/32%/22%08-03 00:30

Argentina PrimeraSarmiento (Junín) vs Independiente RivadaviaIndependiente Rivadavia45%24%/31%/45%08-03 19:45

Argentina PrimeraPlatense vs Talleres (Córdoba)Draw35%33%/35%/32%08-03 22:00

Argentina PrimeraVélez Sarsfield vs IndependienteVelez Sarsfield36%36%/34%/30%08-03 22:00

Argentina PrimeraCentral Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) vs San LorenzoDraw34%32%/34%/34%08-04 00:15

Argentina PrimeraHuracán vs Atlético TucumánHuracan52%52%/31%/17%08-04 00:15

Copa SudamericanaTigre vs NacionalTigre54%54%/28%/18%07-28 22:00

Copa SudamericanaSantos vs UCV FCSantos64%64%/23%/13%07-29 00:30

Copa SudamericanaVasco da Gama vs Independiente MedellínVasco da Gama44%44%/29%/27%07-29 22:00

Copa SudamericanaCienciano del Cusco vs LanúsLanus38%30%/32%/38%07-30 00:30

Copa SudamericanaRed Bull Bragantino vs Sporting CristalRed Bull Bragantino68%68%/21%/11%07-30 00:30

Copa SudamericanaGrêmio vs BolívarGremio43%43%/29%/28%07-30 22:00

Copa SudamericanaCaracas FC vs Independiente Santa FeCaracas FC36%36%/32%/33%07-31 00:30

Copa SudamericanaO'Higgins vs Boca JuniorsBoca Juniors41%28%/31%/41%07-31 00:30

Los Cabos OpenColeman Wong vs Darwin BlanchColeman Wong59%07-28 04:10 Los Cabos OpenMichael Zheng vs Martin LandaluceMartin Landaluce57%07-29 04:00 Los Cabos OpenDalibor Svrcina vs Adam WaltonAdam Walton57%07-29 04:00 Los Cabos OpenDenis Shapovalov vs Rinky HijikataDenis Shapovalov68%07-29 02:30 Los Cabos OpenSho Shimabukuro vs Rodrigo Pacheco MendezSho Shimabukuro62%07-29 01:00 Los Cabos OpenJenson Brooksby vs Corentin MoutetCorentin Moutet55%07-29 02:30

Graded pick log

Date	Match	Pick	Model	Result
2026-07-26	Tigres UANL vs Atletico San Luis	Tigres UANL	63%	Draw (2-2)
2026-07-26	Necaxa vs Monterrey	Monterrey	37%	Necaxa (2-1)
2026-07-26	Santos Laguna vs Atlas	Atlas	37%	Atlas (0-1)
2026-07-25	Tijuana vs Leon	Tijuana	58%	Tijuana (1-0)
2026-07-25	Guadalajara vs Juarez	Guadalajara	63%	Guadalajara (1-0)
2026-07-22	Toluca vs Pumas	Toluca	63%	Pumas (1-2)
2026-07-22	Cruz Azul vs Puebla	Cruz Azul	82%	Cruz Azul (2-1)
2026-07-19	Queretaro vs America	America	47%	America (0-1)
2026-07-19	Guadalajara vs Toluca	Guadalajara	41%	Toluca (0-2)
2026-07-19	Monterrey vs Santos Laguna	Monterrey	72%	Monterrey (3-2)
2026-07-18	Leon vs Atlas	Leon	48%	Atlas (2-3)
2026-07-18	Atletico San Luis vs Cruz Azul	Cruz Azul	53%	Cruz Azul (2-3)
2026-07-18	Juarez vs Puebla	Juarez	58%	Puebla (0-1)
2026-07-18	Pumas vs Pachuca	Pumas	42%	Pachuca (0-3)
2026-07-17	Tijuana vs Tigres UANL	Tigres UANL	37%	Tijuana (3-1)
2026-05-25	Pumas vs Cruz Azul	Cruz Azul	42%	Cruz Azul (1-2)
2026-05-22	Cruz Azul vs Pumas	Cruz Azul	63%	Draw (0-0)
2026-05-18	Pumas vs Pachuca	Pumas	42%	Pumas (1-0)
2026-05-17	Guadalajara vs Cruz Azul	Guadalajara	38%	Cruz Azul (1-2)
2026-05-15	Pachuca vs Pumas	Pachuca	49%	Pachuca (1-0)
2026-05-14	Cruz Azul vs Guadalajara	Cruz Azul	55%	Draw (2-2)
2026-05-11	Pumas vs America	Pumas	37%	Draw (3-3)
2026-05-10	Guadalajara vs Tigres UANL	Guadalajara	45%	Guadalajara (2-0)
2026-05-10	Pachuca vs Toluca	Toluca	40%	Pachuca (2-0)
2026-05-10	Cruz Azul vs Atlas	Cruz Azul	74%	Cruz Azul (1-0)
2026-05-04	Toluca vs Pachuca	Toluca	61%	Pachuca (0-1)
2026-05-03	America vs Pumas	America	55%	Draw (3-3)
2026-05-03	Atlas vs Cruz Azul	Cruz Azul	54%	Cruz Azul (2-3)
2026-05-03	Tigres UANL vs Guadalajara	Tigres UANL	45%	Tigres UANL (3-1)
2026-04-27	Cruz Azul vs Necaxa	Cruz Azul	71%	Cruz Azul (4-1)
2026-04-26	Juarez vs Atletico San Luis	Juarez	47%	Juarez (2-1)
2026-04-26	Santos Laguna vs Monterrey	Monterrey	55%	Santos Laguna (3-0)
2026-04-26	Toluca vs Leon	Toluca	74%	Toluca (4-1)
2026-04-26	America vs Atlas	America	69%	Atlas (0-1)
2026-04-26	Guadalajara vs Tijuana	Guadalajara	60%	Draw (0-0)
2026-04-25	Tigres UANL vs Mazatlan	Tigres UANL	71%	Tigres UANL (5-1)
2026-04-25	Puebla vs Queretaro	Puebla	38%	Queretaro (1-2)
2026-04-25	Pachuca vs Pumas	Pachuca	52%	Pumas (0-2)
2026-04-23	Tijuana vs Pachuca	Tijuana	37%	Tijuana (3-1)
2026-04-23	Necaxa vs Guadalajara	Guadalajara	44%	Draw (0-0)
2026-04-23	Mazatlan vs Toluca	Toluca	63%	Mazatlan (4-3)
2026-04-23	Atlas vs Tigres UANL	Tigres UANL	46%	Draw (0-0)
2026-04-23	Atletico San Luis vs Santos Laguna	Atletico San Luis	60%	Atletico San Luis (2-0)
2026-04-22	Leon vs America	America	49%	America (2-3)
2026-04-22	Monterrey vs Puebla	Monterrey	71%	Monterrey (2-1)
2026-04-22	Queretaro vs Cruz Azul	Cruz Azul	55%	Draw (1-1)
2026-04-22	Pumas vs Juarez	Pumas	55%	Pumas (4-2)
2026-04-19	America vs Toluca	America	39%	America (2-1)
2026-04-19	Santos Laguna vs Atlas	Santos Laguna	37%	Atlas (0-1)
2026-04-19	Guadalajara vs Puebla	Guadalajara	73%	Guadalajara (5-0)
2026-04-19	Monterrey vs Pachuca	Monterrey	48%	Pachuca (1-3)
2026-04-19	Leon vs Juarez	Leon	43%	Leon (3-1)
2026-04-18	Necaxa vs Tigres UANL	Tigres UANL	41%	Draw (1-1)
2026-04-18	Cruz Azul vs Tijuana	Cruz Azul	68%	Draw (1-1)
2026-04-18	Mazatlan vs Queretaro	Mazatlan	38%	Draw (1-1)
2026-04-18	Atletico San Luis vs Pumas	Atletico San Luis	38%	Pumas (0-2)
2026-04-13	Toluca vs Atletico San Luis	Toluca	73%	Draw (1-1)
2026-04-12	Pumas vs Mazatlan	Pumas	62%	Pumas (3-1)
2026-04-12	America vs Cruz Azul	America	41%	Draw (1-1)
2026-04-12	Atlas vs Monterrey	Monterrey	45%	Draw (0-0)
2026-04-12	Pachuca vs Santos Laguna	Pachuca	72%	Pachuca (4-2)
2026-04-11	Juarez vs Tijuana	Juarez	44%	Tijuana (1-2)
2026-04-11	Puebla vs Leon	Puebla	40%	Leon (0-1)
2026-04-11	Queretaro vs Necaxa	Queretaro	38%	Queretaro (3-1)
2026-04-11	Tigres UANL vs Guadalajara	Tigres UANL	43%	Tigres UANL (4-1)
2026-04-08	Queretaro vs Juarez	Queretaro	39%	Draw (1-1)
2026-04-06	Guadalajara vs Pumas	Guadalajara	56%	Draw (2-2)
2026-04-05	Santos Laguna vs America	America	60%	Draw (1-1)
2026-04-05	Cruz Azul vs Pachuca	Cruz Azul	62%	Pachuca (1-2)
2026-04-05	Leon vs Atlas	Leon	45%	Leon (2-0)
2026-04-04	Queretaro vs Toluca	Toluca	59%	Queretaro (1-0)
2026-04-04	Monterrey vs Atletico San Luis	Monterrey	63%	Atletico San Luis (1-2)
2026-04-04	Tijuana vs Tigres UANL	Tigres UANL	39%	Tijuana (1-0)
2026-04-04	Necaxa vs Mazatlan	Necaxa	57%	Necaxa (2-1)
2026-04-04	Puebla vs Juarez	Juarez	37%	Draw (1-1)
2026-03-23	Juarez vs Tigres UANL	Tigres UANL	44%	Juarez (2-1)
2026-03-22	Monterrey vs Guadalajara	Monterrey	46%	Guadalajara (2-3)
2026-03-22	Atletico San Luis vs Leon	Atletico San Luis	49%	Leon (1-2)
2026-03-22	Santos Laguna vs Puebla	Santos Laguna	42%	Santos Laguna (2-1)
2026-03-22	Pumas vs America	America	41%	Pumas (1-0)
2026-03-22	Pachuca vs Toluca	Toluca	45%	Draw (1-1)
2026-03-21	Atlas vs Queretaro	Atlas	48%	Draw (0-0)
2026-03-21	Mazatlan vs Cruz Azul	Cruz Azul	61%	Draw (1-1)
2026-03-21	Necaxa vs Tijuana	Necaxa	43%	Necaxa (3-0)
2026-03-19	Guadalajara vs Leon	Guadalajara	65%	Guadalajara (5-0)
2026-03-16	America vs Mazatlan	America	72%	America (2-0)
2026-03-15	Pumas vs Cruz Azul	Cruz Azul	47%	Draw (2-2)
2026-03-15	Leon vs Tijuana	Leon	39%	Tijuana (0-3)
2026-03-15	Toluca vs Atlas	Toluca	76%	Draw (1-1)
2026-03-15	Tigres UANL vs Queretaro	Tigres UANL	68%	Draw (0-0)
2026-03-14	Guadalajara vs Santos Laguna	Guadalajara	74%	Guadalajara (3-0)
2026-03-14	Atletico San Luis vs Pachuca	Pachuca	38%	Draw (1-1)
2026-03-14	Juarez vs Monterrey	Monterrey	44%	Draw (2-2)
2026-03-14	Puebla vs Necaxa	Necaxa	38%	Draw (0-0)
2026-03-09	Tijuana vs Santos Laguna	Tijuana	65%	Santos Laguna (1-2)
2026-03-08	Atlas vs Guadalajara	Guadalajara	44%	Guadalajara (1-2)
2026-03-08	Toluca vs Juarez	Toluca	73%	Toluca (3-1)
2026-03-08	Pachuca vs Puebla	Pachuca	67%	Pachuca (2-1)
2026-03-08	Tigres UANL vs Monterrey	Tigres UANL	48%	Tigres UANL (1-0)
2026-03-07	Cruz Azul vs Atletico San Luis	Cruz Azul	71%	Cruz Azul (3-0)

Methodology

Pick = the outcome with the highest model probability (football: 3-way home/draw/away from the Dixon-Coles club engines or the WC Poisson engine; tennis: match winner from the Markov point engine). Pure model, pre-match inputs only.
A pick is correct iff the picked outcome happened (football: 90-minute result; tennis: match winner, retirements graded as decided, walkovers skipped). Accuracy = correct / graded. No stakes, no odds, no P/L.
Walk-forward, no look-ahead: team strengths rebuilt each ISO week from strictly-prior matches, league calibration refit monthly on a trailing window. Every completed match is graded. Where closing odds exist, the de-vigged market favorite's accuracy on the same matches is shown as the benchmark.
Pre-tournament team ratings held constant across the tournament (no in-tournament information).
Player state built from matches through 2026-06-28 (pre-Wimbledon); matches predicted in outcome-blind alphabetical orientation.